Johns Hopkins Model: Ending Ryan White Program Would Increase New HIV Infections 49% by 2030
A Johns Hopkins computer simulation published in Annals of Internal Medicine projects that eliminating federal Ryan White HIV/AIDS Program funding would increase new HIV infections by 49% nationwide by 2030 — representing thousands of preventable infections annually. For FQHCs receiving Ryan White Part C/D funding: this threat makes ECM revenue layering and Medi-Cal billing optimization urgently important as a financial hedge.
The 2026 National Ryan White Conference (Aug 4-7, Washington DC) will focus on 'Strengthening our Foundation' — FQHC leaders should attend for advocacy and sustainability planning.
Key takeaways
- Simulation: eliminating Ryan White = 49% increase in new HIV infections by 2030
- For FQHCs with Ryan White Part C/D: ECM revenue layering is urgent as a financial hedge
- 2026 National Ryan White Conference Aug 4-7 in DC — focus: 'Strengthening our Foundation'
Primary source
Annals of Internal MedicineSource packet
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FQHC Talent. (2025, September 15). Johns Hopkins Model: Ending Ryan White Program Would Increase New HIV Infections 49% by 2030. Primary source: Annals of Internal Medicine. Retrieved July 28, 2026, from https://www.fqhctalent.com/intel/ryan-white-ending-49pct-hiv-increase
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